Double chanceSheriff Tiraspol or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.71
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa League sees Sheriff Tiraspol take on Aluminij on Thursday 9 July, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Sheriff Stadium.
Form guide
Sheriff Tiraspol's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Politehnica UTM 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aluminij's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to FK Partizan 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sheriff Tiraspol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Sheriff Tiraspol and 0.6 for Aluminij. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 48%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sheriff Tiraspol 1–0 Aluminij. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sheriff Tiraspol69%fair 1.45 · @1.41
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @4.30
Aluminij13%fair 7.95 · @6.80
2.55Expected goals
1.91Sheriff Tiraspol xG
0.64Aluminij xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sheriff Tiraspol 1.9 – 0.6 Aluminij expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheriff Tiraspol to win✗
69%
1.45
1.41
Double chance
Sheriff Tiraspol or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Sheriff Tiraspol ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sheriff Tiraspol / FT Sheriff Tiraspol✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.71
–
Form
Sheriff Tiraspol – last 6
DWDWLW
4 Jul
@ Politehnica UTM
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Sireți
3–0
W
17 May
@ Milsami Orhei
0–0
D
13 May
vs Petrocub
2–0
W
6 May
@ Petrocub
0–1
L
21 Apr
@ Dacia-Buiucani
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aluminij – last 6
LLDLWW
2 Jul
vs FK Partizan
1–2
L
28 Jun
vs FC Noah
0–2
L
19 Jun
@ Rače
1–1
D
23 May
@ Maribor
0–3
L
13 May
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
1–0
W
23 Apr
@ Bravo
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sheriff Tiraspol and Aluminij.
What is the prediction for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij?
On our numbers Sheriff Tiraspol have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aluminij 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij?
Our predicted score is Sheriff Tiraspol 1–0 Aluminij, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij?
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Sheriff Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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