Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaide to win ✓67% · @1.70
Double chancePaide or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.05
Paide vs Hegelmann Litauen preview and prediction
The match
Hegelmann Litauen travel to Pärnu Rannastaadion in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 16 July (17:00 WAT) to face Paide.
Form guide
Paide's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Hegelmann Litauen's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Paide 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Paide arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 July 2026, finished Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 Paide.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Paide and 0.6 for Hegelmann Litauen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paide 67%, draw 20%, Hegelmann Litauen 13%.
Safer route: Paide or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paide to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paide 1–0 Hegelmann Litauen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paide67%fair 1.50 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
Hegelmann Litauen13%fair 7.75 · @4.33
2.37Expected goals
1.77Paide xG
0.60Hegelmann Litauen xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Paide 1.8 – 0.6 Hegelmann Litauen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Paide vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Our pick is Paide to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Paide vs Hegelmann Litauen?
On our numbers Paide have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hegelmann Litauen 13%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Hegelmann Litauen?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Our predicted score is Paide 1–0 Hegelmann Litauen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Paide vs Hegelmann Litauen (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Pärnu Rannastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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