Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Levadia Tallinn to win ✓70% · @1.25
Double chanceFC Levadia Tallinn or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town preview and prediction
The match
Caernarfon Town travel to A. Le Coq Arena in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 16 July (17:30 WAT) to face FC Levadia Tallinn.
Form guide
FC Levadia Tallinn's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Caernarfon Town 5–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Caernarfon Town's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to FC Levadia Tallinn 0–5 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
FC Levadia Tallinn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 July 2026, finished Caernarfon Town 0–5 FC Levadia Tallinn.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.9 for FC Levadia Tallinn and 1.2 for Caernarfon Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Levadia Tallinn 70%, draw 20%, Caernarfon Town 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Levadia Tallinn 2–1 Caernarfon Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Levadia Tallinn70%fair 1.44 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @5.10
Caernarfon Town10%fair 9.89 · @8.75
4.08Expected goals
2.89FC Levadia Tallinn xG
1.19Caernarfon Town xG
62%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
4–16%
1–16%
From our goals model: FC Levadia Tallinn 2.9 – 1.2 Caernarfon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town?
On our numbers FC Levadia Tallinn have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Caernarfon Town 10%.
How many goals will there be in FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town?
Our predicted score is FC Levadia Tallinn 2–1 Caernarfon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town?
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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