Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.36Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Astana to win ✗64% · @1.45
Double chanceFC Astana or draw ✗85% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.65
FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana preview and prediction
The match
Dinamo Tirana travel to Astana Arena in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 16 July (16:00 WAT) to face FC Astana.
Form guide
FC Astana's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Aktobe 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dinamo Tirana's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to FC Astana 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
FC Astana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 July 2026, finished Dinamo Tirana 0–1 FC Astana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for FC Astana and 0.5 for Dinamo Tirana. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Astana 64%, draw 21%, Dinamo Tirana 15%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.28, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Astana 1–0 Dinamo Tirana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Astana64%fair 1.56 · @1.45
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.10
Dinamo Tirana15%fair 6.57 · @5.80
1.89Expected goals
1.42FC Astana xG
0.47Dinamo Tirana xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–015%
0–015%
1–110%
3–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: FC Astana 1.4 – 0.5 Dinamo Tirana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana?
On our numbers FC Astana have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dinamo Tirana 15%.
How many goals will there be in FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana?
Our predicted score is FC Astana 1–0 Dinamo Tirana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana?
FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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