Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Bate Borisov to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAF Elbasani to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.68
Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani preview and prediction
The match
AF Elbasani travel to Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 16 July (18:00 WAT) to face Bate Borisov.
Form guide
Bate Borisov's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with AF Elbasani 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
AF Elbasani's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Bate Borisov 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 July 2026, finished AF Elbasani 1–1 Bate Borisov.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Bate Borisov and 1.2 for AF Elbasani. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bate Borisov 34%, draw 21%, AF Elbasani 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Bate Borisov to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Bate Borisov 1–1 AF Elbasani. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bate Borisov34%fair 2.92 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
AF Elbasani45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
2.24Expected goals
1.02Bate Borisov xG
1.23AF Elbasani xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Bate Borisov 1.0 – 1.2 AF Elbasani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani?
On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AF Elbasani 45%.
How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani?
Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 1–1 AF Elbasani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani?
Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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