Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMornar to win ✗65% · @1.48
Double chanceMornar or draw ✗85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.95
Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes preview and prediction
The match
Mornar host Atlètic Club d'Escaldes in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 16 July, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Gradski Stadion.
Form guide
Mornar's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Mornar 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 July 2026, finished Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 2–1 Mornar.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Mornar and 0.8 for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mornar 65%, draw 20%, Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 54% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Mornar 2–0 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mornar65%fair 1.53 · @1.48
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.70
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes15%fair 6.76 · @6.25
2.74Expected goals
1.96Mornar xG
0.79Atlètic Club d'Escaldes xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Mornar 2.0 – 0.8 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?
On our numbers Mornar have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 15%.
How many goals will there be in Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?
Our predicted score is Mornar 2–0 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?
Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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