Value bet: Semendrija 1924 to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNapredak to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.10
Napredak vs Semendrija 1924 preview and prediction
The match
Semendrija 1924 travel to face Napredak in the Prva Liga on Monday 21 September (17:00 WAT). Napredak are 7th with 25 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Semendrija 1924 sit 6th on 25 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Napredak's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to OFK Vršac 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Semendrija 1924's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Napredak and 1.2 for Semendrija 1924. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 46%.
Value angle: Semendrija 1924 to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Napredak 1–1 Semendrija 1924. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Napredak41%fair 2.44 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Semendrija 192435%fair 2.86 · @3.20
2.47Expected goals
1.30Napredak xG
1.17Semendrija 1924 xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Napredak 1.3 – 1.2 Semendrija 1924 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napredak to win✗
41%
2.44
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napredak / FT Napredak✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.10
–
Form
Napredak – last 6
LLWLLD
16 Sep
vs OFK Vršac
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Jedinstvo Ub
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Javor
0–3
L
23 Aug
vs TSC Backa Topola
1–2
L
19 Aug
@ Teleoptik
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Semendrija 1924 – last 6
WLLDDD
16 Sep
vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Jedinstvo Ub
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Javor
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ TSC Backa Topola
1–1
D
24 Aug
vs Teleoptik
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Metalac GM
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napredak and Semendrija 1924.
What is the prediction for Napredak vs Semendrija 1924?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Napredak vs Semendrija 1924?
On our numbers Napredak have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Semendrija 1924 35%.
How many goals will there be in Napredak vs Semendrija 1924?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napredak vs Semendrija 1924?
Our predicted score is Napredak 1–1 Semendrija 1924, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Napredak vs Semendrija 1924?
Napredak vs Semendrija 1924 (Prva Liga) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
