Prva Liga · Serbia · Stadion Kraj MoraviceJavor vs Naftagas prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Javor 2.3 – 0.7 Naftagas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Javor are clear favourites at home with a 74% chance of winning, against 8% for Naftagas.
Javor have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Naftagas have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Javor come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.3 for Javor, 0.7 for Naftagas). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (14%), 1–0 (12%), 3–0 (11%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.70.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Javor to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.18 |
| Double chance | Javor or draw ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.26 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.53 | – |
| Half-time result | Javor ahead at half-time ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Javor / FT Javor ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.27 | – |
Form
Javor – last 6
| 17 Sep | @ Loznica | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs FK Vozdovac | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Semendrija 1924 | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Napredak | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | @ FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Aug | vs Jedinstvo Ub | 3–0 | W |
Naftagas – last 6
| 16 Sep | vs TSC Backa Topola | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Sep | @ Teleoptik | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Metalac GM | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ OFK Bor 1919 | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | vs Grafičar | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Borac Cacak | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Javor and Naftagas.
Prva Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borac Cacak | 17 | +10 | 36 |
| 2 |  Javor | 17 | +20 | 34 |
| 3 |  TSC Backa Topola | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 4 |  OFK Vršac | 17 | +5 | 30 |
| 5 |  Dubočica | 17 | 0 | 26 |
| 6 |  Semendrija 1924 | 17 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  Napredak | 17 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 |  FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 17 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Naftagas | 17 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  FK Vozdovac | 17 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 |  Loznica | 17 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 |  Metalac GM | 17 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 |  Jedinstvo Ub | 17 | -6 | 18 |
| 14 |  Grafičar | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Teleoptik | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 16 |  OFK Bor 1919 | 17 | -25 | 8 |
More Prva Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Javor vs Naftagas?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Javor vs Naftagas?
On our numbers Javor have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Naftagas 8%.
How many goals will there be in Javor vs Naftagas?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Javor vs Naftagas?
Javor vs Naftagas (Prva Liga) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kraj Moravice.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.