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Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs · Spain

Pamplona

LWDWW
1–1
FT

Real Murcia II

WWDWW

Pamplona vs Real Murcia II prediction & analysis

55%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.83Odds
2

Value bet: Real Murcia II to win @ 3.40 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultReal Murcia II to win ✗38% · @3.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.85

Pamplona vs Real Murcia II preview and prediction

The match

The Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs sees Pamplona take on Real Murcia II on Saturday 20 June, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Pamplona's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Real Murcia II 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.

Real Murcia II's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Pamplona 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Real Murcia II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished Real Murcia II 2–1 Pamplona.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Pamplona and 1.5 for Real Murcia II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Pamplona 1–1 Real Murcia II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Pamplona37%fair 2.71 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Real Murcia II38%fair 2.66 · @3.40
3.00Expected goals
1.49Pamplona xG
1.51Real Murcia II xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Pamplona 1.5 – 1.5 Real Murcia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Murcia II to win ✗38%2.663.40 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.341.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Murcia II / FT Real Murcia II ✗22%4.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.85–

Form

Pamplona – last 6

LWDWWD
14 Jun@ Real Murcia II1–2L
6 Junvs Izarra5–1W
30 May@ Izarra1–1D
19 Apr@ Izarra2–0W
2 Apr@ Txantrea3–1W
27 Marvs Aoiz2–2D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Real Murcia II – last 6

WWDWWD
14 Junvs Pamplona2–1W
7 Junvs Olímpico Totana2–1W
31 May@ Olímpico Totana1–1D
24 Mayvs Mazarrón FC2–0W
2 May@ Santa Cruz2–1W
19 Apr@ UD Caravaca1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jun 2026Real Murcia II v Pamplona2–1
Pamplona vs Real Murcia II head-to-head page →

More Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs predictions

FT Arnedo1 Tropezón0 131%2.30X24%2.80245%3.00 NGNot both teams to score 59%@1.75 ✓
FT La Nucía1 Trival Valderas0 144%2.05X24%2.80232%3.75 12Either team to win 76%@1.36 ✓
FT Caudal1 Atlético Central1 127%2.15X57%2.88216%3.40 1XCaudal or draw 84%@1.25 ✓
FT Cuarte1 Badajoz1 130%2.88X24%2.80246%2.45 GGBoth teams to score 58%@2.00 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pamplona vs Real Murcia II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Pamplona vs Real Murcia II?

On our numbers Pamplona have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Real Murcia II 38%.

How many goals will there be in Pamplona vs Real Murcia II?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pamplona vs Real Murcia II?

Our predicted score is Pamplona 1–1 Real Murcia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Pamplona vs Real Murcia II?

Pamplona vs Real Murcia II (Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.