Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs · Spain
Caudal vs Atlético Central prediction & analysis
Caudal or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Draw @ 2.88 – our chance 57% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +65%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Caudal 1.1 – 0.9 Atlético Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Caudal hold the edge on home soil with a 27% chance of winning, against 16% for Atlético Central, and a draw (57%) is a real possibility.
Caudal have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Atlético Central have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.1 for Caudal, 0.9 for Atlético Central). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Caudal have won 0, Atlético Central have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Caudal or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Draw at 2.88 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 2.88 ▲ |
| Double chance | Caudal or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Caudal / FT Caudal ✗ | 22% | 4.47 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.39 | – |
Form
Caudal – last 6
| 14 Jun | @ Atlético Central | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Jun | @ Covadonga | 4–2 | W |
| 31 May | vs Covadonga | 2–1 | W |
| 24 May | @ Sporting Gijón II | 0–0 | D |
| 17 May | vs Sporting Gijón II | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | @ Navarro | 2–1 | W |
Atlético Central – last 6
| 14 Jun | vs Caudal | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Jun | @ Dos Hermanas | 2–1 | W |
| 31 May | vs Dos Hermanas | 1–2 | L |
| 17 May | @ Bollullos | 0–1 | L |
| 3 May | vs Linense | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Apr | vs Pozoblanco | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 14 Jun 2026 | Atlético Central v Caudal | 2–0 |
More Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs predictions
Pamplona1
Real Murcia II1
Arnedo1
Tropezón0
La Nucía1
Trival Valderas0
Cuarte1
Badajoz1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Caudal vs Atlético Central?
Our pick is Caudal or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Caudal vs Atlético Central?
On our numbers Caudal have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 57% and Atlético Central 16%.
How many goals will there be in Caudal vs Atlético Central?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Caudal vs Atlético Central?
Caudal vs Atlético Central (Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.