Ligue 1 · France · Roazhon Park

Rennes

LWDLW

1–2

Lille

DWDLD

Rennes vs Lille prediction & analysis

79%

Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating

1.22Odds

Value bet: Lille to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultRennes to win ✗38% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90

Win chances

Rennes38%fair 2.62 · @2.40

Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.40

Lille38%fair 2.62 · @2.88

3.02Expected goals

1.51Rennes xG

1.51Lille xG

60%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%

2–18%

1–28%

1–07%

0–17%

2–26%

From our goals model: Rennes 1.5 – 1.5 Lille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Rennes and Lille on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Rennes have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 2.2 per game. Lille have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. Rennes come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.5 for Rennes, 1.5 for Lille). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Rennes have won 0, Lille have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.26. For a bigger price, Lille to win at 2.88 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Rennes to win ✗	38%	2.62	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.31	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.66	1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	57%	1.77	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	64%	1.56	1.50
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	40%	2.53	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Rennes / FT Rennes ✗	22%	4.49	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.90	–

Form

Rennes – last 6

LWDLWW

31 Oct	@ Nice	2–5	L
25 Oct	vs Strasbourg	3–0	W
22 Oct	@ Juventus	2–2	D
18 Oct	@ Paris FC	3–4	L
15 Oct	vs OFI	2–1	W
11 Oct	vs Auxerre	4–1	W

2.7Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Lille – last 6

DWDLDL

3 Nov	@ BodoGlimt	0–0	D
30 Oct	vs Lens	1–0	W
25 Oct	@ Monaco	1–1	D
21 Oct	vs Galatasaray	2–4	L
17 Oct	vs Stade Brestois 29	1–1	D
13 Oct	@ Arsenal	0–3	L

0.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026

Rennes v Lille

1–2

Ligue 1 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Lille	10	6	3	1	+7	21
3	Paris FC	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Marseille	10	6	0	4	+8	18
5	Lyon	10	5	2	3	+6	17
6	Nice	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Monaco	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	Rennes	10	5	1	4	0	16
9	Stade Brestois 29	10	4	3	3	+6	15
10	Lorient	10	4	3	3	+1	15
11	Lens	10	4	1	5	+2	13
12	Toulouse	10	3	4	3	+1	13
13	Strasbourg	10	3	1	6	-4	10
14	Auxerre	10	3	1	6	-11	10
15	Le Mans	10	1	5	4	-7	8
16	Angers	10	2	2	6	-10	8
17	Estac Troyes	10	2	2	6	-10	8
18	Le Havre	10	0	2	8	-13	2

More Ligue 1 predictions

League hub →

Angers0

Nice2 282151 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓ FT

Stade Brestois 292

Lyon0 362341 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓ FT

Le Havre0

Lorient2 342442 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓ FT

Le Mans1

Monaco1 162064 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓ FT

Lens1

Marseille2 402338 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rennes vs Lille?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Rennes vs Lille?

On our numbers Rennes have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lille 38%.

How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Lille?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

When is Rennes vs Lille?

Rennes vs Lille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Roazhon Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.