Ligue 1 · France · Stade Marie-Marvingt

Le Mans

LDLLW

1–1

Monaco

WLDWL

Le Mans vs Monaco prediction & analysis

77%

Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.25Odds

Value bet: Monaco to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultMonaco to win ✗64% · @1.67

Double chanceMonaco or draw ✓84% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.46

Win chances

Le Mans16%fair 6.18 · @5.25

Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.80

Monaco64%fair 1.57 · @1.67

2.81Expected goals

0.85Le Mans xG

1.95Monaco xG

55%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–112%

0–212%

1–110%

1–210%

0–38%

1–36%

From our goals model: Le Mans 0.9 – 2.0 Monaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Monaco travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 16% for Le Mans.

Le Mans have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 per game. Monaco have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Monaco come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (0.9 for Le Mans, 2.0 for Monaco). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (12%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, Monaco to win at 1.67 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Monaco to win ✗	64%	1.57	1.67 ▲
Double chance	Monaco or draw ✓	84%	1.19	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.83	1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.31	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.89	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.46	1.40
Half-time result	Monaco ahead at half-time ✓	45%	2.20	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Monaco / FT Monaco ✗	40%	2.48	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	12%	8.46	–

Form

Le Mans – last 6

LDLLWD

31 Oct	@ Estac Troyes	0–2	L
25 Oct	@ Auxerre	1–1	D
16 Oct	vs Toulouse	0–3	L
10 Oct	@ Paris Saint Germain	1–3	L
19 Sep	vs Lorient	2–1	W
13 Sep	vs Lens	2–2	D

1.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Monaco – last 6

WLDWLW

5 Nov	vs FC Nordsjaelland	2–0	W
1 Nov	@ Paris FC	1–3	L
25 Oct	vs Lille	1–1	D
22 Oct	vs SC Freiburg	3–0	W
18 Oct	@ Lorient	0–1	L
15 Oct	@ CSKA Sofia	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Le Mans and Monaco.

Ligue 1 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Lille	10	6	3	1	+7	21
3	Paris FC	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Marseille	10	6	0	4	+8	18
5	Lyon	10	5	2	3	+6	17
6	Nice	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Monaco	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	Rennes	10	5	1	4	0	16
9	Stade Brestois 29	10	4	3	3	+6	15
10	Lorient	10	4	3	3	+1	15
11	Lens	10	4	1	5	+2	13
12	Toulouse	10	3	4	3	+1	13
13	Strasbourg	10	3	1	6	-4	10
14	Auxerre	10	3	1	6	-11	10
15	Le Mans	10	1	5	4	-7	8
16	Angers	10	2	2	6	-10	8
17	Estac Troyes	10	2	2	6	-10	8
18	Le Havre	10	0	2	8	-13	2

More Ligue 1 predictions

League hub →

Rennes1

Lille2 382438 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓ FT

Angers0

Nice2 282151 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓ FT

Stade Brestois 292

Lyon0 362341 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓ FT

Le Havre0

Lorient2 342442 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓ FT

Lens1

Marseille2 402338 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Le Mans vs Monaco?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Le Mans vs Monaco?

On our numbers Le Mans have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Monaco 64%.

How many goals will there be in Le Mans vs Monaco?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

When is Le Mans vs Monaco?

Le Mans vs Monaco (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marie-Marvingt.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.