Ligue 1 · France · Stade Francis-Le-Blé
Stade Brestois 29
Lyon
Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Stade Brestois 29 1.3 – 1.5 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Stade Brestois 29 and Lyon on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Stade Brestois 29 have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Lyon have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.3 for Stade Brestois 29, 1.5 for Lyon). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.31.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lyon to win ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lyon / FT Lyon ✗ | 24% | 4.24 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.11 | – |
Form
Stade Brestois 29 – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Lorient | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | vs Nice | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Lille | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Angers | 5–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Monza | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Auxerre | 1–2 | L |
Lyon – last 6
| 5 Nov | @ Real Sociedad | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Oct | vs Angers | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | @ Paris Saint Germain | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | @ 1899 Hoffenheim | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Nice | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Crystal Palace | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Brestois 29 and Lyon.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Lille | 10 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Marseille | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Nice | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Rennes | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Lens | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 10 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Angers | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 10 | -13 | 2 |
More Ligue 1 predictions
League hub →Rennes1
Lille2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
79%@1.22
✓
FT
Angers0
Nice2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
78%@1.22
✓
FT
Le Havre0
Lorient2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
76%@1.28
✓
FT
Le Mans1
Monaco1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.25
✓
FT
Lens1
Marseille2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
81%@1.20
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?
On our numbers Stade Brestois 29 have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lyon 41%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?
Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Francis-Le-Blé.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.