Ligue 1 · France · Stade Océane

Le Havre

LLLLL

0–2

Lorient

LDWWL

Le Havre vs Lorient prediction & analysis

76%

Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.28Odds

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultLorient to win ✓42% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.92

Win chances

Le Havre34%fair 2.94 · @3.00

Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.30

Lorient42%fair 2.38 · @2.40

2.46Expected goals

1.15Le Havre xG

1.31Lorient xG

59%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

0–111%

1–010%

0–09%

1–28%

2–17%

From our goals model: Le Havre 1.1 – 1.3 Lorient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Lorient shade it despite being away from home – 42% to win, against 34% for Le Havre.

Le Havre have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.7 per game. Lorient have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Lorient come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 for Le Havre, 1.3 for Lorient). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Le Havre have won 1, Lorient have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.80 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Lorient to win ✓	42%	2.38	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.70	1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.41	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.81	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.28
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.25	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Lorient / FT Lorient ✓	23%	4.28	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	11%	8.92	–

Form

Le Havre – last 6

LLLLLD

30 Oct	vs Paris Saint Germain	1–5	L
25 Oct	@ Marseille	3–4	L
18 Oct	vs Auxerre	1–3	L
10 Oct	@ Lille	0–1	L
19 Sep	@ Toulouse	2–3	L
12 Sep	vs Angers	0–0	D

1.2Scored / game

2.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Lorient – last 6

LDWWLD

31 Oct	vs Stade Brestois 29	0–2	L
25 Oct	@ Angers	0–0	D
18 Oct	vs Monaco	1–0	W
10 Oct	vs Paris FC	1–0	W
19 Sep	@ Le Mans	1–2	L
12 Sep	vs Toulouse	2–2	D

0.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026

Lorient v Le Havre

0–2

Ligue 1 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Lille	10	6	3	1	+7	21
3	Paris FC	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Marseille	10	6	0	4	+8	18
5	Lyon	10	5	2	3	+6	17
6	Nice	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Monaco	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	Rennes	10	5	1	4	0	16
9	Stade Brestois 29	10	4	3	3	+6	15
10	Lorient	10	4	3	3	+1	15
11	Lens	10	4	1	5	+2	13
12	Toulouse	10	3	4	3	+1	13
13	Strasbourg	10	3	1	6	-4	10
14	Auxerre	10	3	1	6	-11	10
15	Le Mans	10	1	5	4	-7	8
16	Angers	10	2	2	6	-10	8
17	Estac Troyes	10	2	2	6	-10	8
18	Le Havre	10	0	2	8	-13	2

More Ligue 1 predictions

League hub →

Rennes1

Lille2 382438 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓ FT

Angers0

Nice2 282151 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓ FT

Stade Brestois 292

Lyon0 362341 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓ FT

Le Mans1

Monaco1 162064 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓ FT

Lens1

Marseille2 402338 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Le Havre vs Lorient?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Le Havre vs Lorient?

On our numbers Le Havre have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lorient 42%.

How many goals will there be in Le Havre vs Lorient?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Le Havre vs Lorient?

Le Havre vs Lorient (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Océane.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.