Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuxerre to win ✗49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Auxerre vs Le Mans preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Auxerre take on Le Mans on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 17:15 (WAT) at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps. Auxerre are 14th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Le Mans sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Auxerre's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Le Havre 3–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Le Mans's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Toulouse 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Auxerre arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.1 for Auxerre and 1.7 for Le Mans. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 73% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Auxerre 49%, draw 21%, Le Mans 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Auxerre 2–1 Le Mans. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auxerre49%fair 2.04 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Le Mans30%fair 3.32 · @3.40
3.79Expected goals
2.14Auxerre xG
1.65Le Mans xG
64%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–05%
From our goals model: Auxerre 2.1 – 1.7 Le Mans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auxerre to win✗
49%
2.04
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Auxerre ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auxerre / FT Auxerre✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.73
–
Form
Auxerre – last 6
WLWWWL
18 Oct
@ Le Havre
3–1
W
11 Oct
@ Rennes
1–4
L
2 Oct
vs Clermont Foot
4–3
W
20 Sep
vs Stade Brestois 29
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Nice
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Lyon
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Le Mans – last 6
LLWDDL
16 Oct
vs Toulouse
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Paris Saint Germain
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Lorient
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Lens
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Nice
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Rennes
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auxerre and Le Mans.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Auxerre vs Le Mans?
On our numbers Auxerre have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Le Mans 30%.
How many goals will there be in Auxerre vs Le Mans?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Le Mans?
Our predicted score is Auxerre 2–1 Le Mans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Auxerre vs Le Mans?
Auxerre vs Le Mans (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
