Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Angers to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarseille to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Angers vs Marseille preview and prediction
The match
Angers host Marseille in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stade Raymond Kopa. Angers are 16th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Marseille sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Angers's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Stade Brestois 29 1–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Marseille's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Angers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Angers and 1.6 for Marseille. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Angers 32%, draw 21%, Marseille 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Angers to win at 3.30 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Angers 1–1 Marseille. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Angers32%fair 3.10 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.50
Marseille47%fair 2.12 · @2.00
2.83Expected goals
1.25Angers xG
1.58Marseille xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–27%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Angers 1.2 – 1.6 Marseille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marseille to win✓
47%
2.12
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marseille / FT Marseille✓
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Form
Angers – last 6
LWDLWL
10 Oct
@ Stade Brestois 29
1–5
L
19 Sep
vs Estac Troyes
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Le Havre
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Rennes
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Auxerre
3–1
W
23 Aug
vs Lille
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Marseille – last 6
LWLLLL
15 Oct
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Estac Troyes
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Paris Saint Germain
1–2
L
17 Sep
@ Beşiktaş
1–4
L
11 Sep
@ Rennes
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Paris FC
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Angers and Marseille.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Angers vs Marseille?
On our numbers Angers have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Marseille 47%.
How many goals will there be in Angers vs Marseille?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Angers vs Marseille?
Our predicted score is Angers 1–1 Marseille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Angers vs Marseille?
Angers vs Marseille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Raymond Kopa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.