Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLyon to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceLyon or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.07
Lyon vs Nice preview and prediction
The match
Nice travel to Groupama Stadium in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 18 October (19:45 WAT) to face Lyon. Lyon are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Nice sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lyon's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Crystal Palace 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Nice's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Strasbourg 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lyon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Lyon 2–0 Nice.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Lyon and 0.7 for Nice. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lyon 59%, draw 25%, Nice 16%.
Safer route: Lyon or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lyon or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lyon 1–0 Nice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lyon59%fair 1.71 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.75
Nice16%fair 6.07 · @4.20
2.25Expected goals
1.56Lyon xG
0.69Nice xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lyon 1.6 – 0.7 Nice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Lyon or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lyon vs Nice?
On our numbers Lyon have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nice 16%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Nice?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Nice?
Our predicted score is Lyon 1–0 Nice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Nice?
Lyon vs Nice (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Groupama Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
