Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultToulouse to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceToulouse or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.54
Toulouse vs Le Havre preview and prediction
The match
Toulouse host Le Havre in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stadium Municipal. Toulouse are 12th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Le Havre sit 18th on 2 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Toulouse's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Lorient 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Le Havre's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Angers 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Le Havre 2–1 Toulouse.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Toulouse and 0.6 for Le Havre. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toulouse 61%, draw 23%, Le Havre 16%.
Safer route: Toulouse or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Toulouse or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Toulouse 1–0 Le Havre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toulouse61%fair 1.65 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.70
Le Havre16%fair 6.18 · @4.33
2.13Expected goals
1.52Toulouse xG
0.61Le Havre xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Toulouse 1.5 – 0.6 Le Havre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Toulouse or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Toulouse vs Le Havre?
On our numbers Toulouse have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Le Havre 16%.
How many goals will there be in Toulouse vs Le Havre?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Le Havre?
Our predicted score is Toulouse 1–0 Le Havre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Toulouse vs Le Havre?
Toulouse vs Le Havre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Municipal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
