Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Rennes to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLyon to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.90
Lyon vs Rennes preview and prediction
The match
Lyon host Rennes in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Groupama Stadium. Lyon are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Rennes sit 8th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lyon's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Anderlecht 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Rennes's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Sturm Graz 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Lyon and 1.2 for Rennes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lyon 44%, draw 20%, Rennes 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Rennes to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Lyon 1–1 Rennes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lyon44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
Rennes36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
2.63Expected goals
1.40Lyon xG
1.23Rennes xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lyon 1.4 – 1.2 Rennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✓
44%
2.28
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.90
–
Form
Lyon – last 6
WDWDLW
16 Sep
@ Anderlecht
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Paris FC
0–0
D
4 Sep
vs Auxerre
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Le Havre
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Fenerbahçe
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Toulouse
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rennes – last 6
DWWWDL
16 Sep
@ Sturm Graz
0–0
D
11 Sep
vs Marseille
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Angers
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Le Mans
3–2
W
23 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Sunderland
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyon and Rennes.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lyon vs Rennes?
On our numbers Lyon have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rennes 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Rennes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Rennes?
Our predicted score is Lyon 1–1 Rennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Rennes?
Lyon vs Rennes (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Groupama Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
