Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Lorient to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLorient to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Le Mans vs Lorient preview and prediction
The match
Le Mans host Lorient in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at MMArena. Le Mans are 15th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Lorient sit 10th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Le Mans's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Lens 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Lorient's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Toulouse 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Le Mans and 1.5 for Lorient. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Le Mans 35%, draw 22%, Lorient 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Lorient to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Le Mans 1–1 Lorient. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Le Mans35%fair 2.86 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Lorient43%fair 2.32 · @2.50
2.88Expected goals
1.35Le Mans xG
1.53Lorient xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Le Mans 1.3 – 1.5 Lorient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lorient to win✗
43%
2.32
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lorient / FT Lorient✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.27
–
Form
Le Mans – last 6
DDLDLD
13 Sep
vs Lens
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Nice
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Rennes
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Le Havre
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs UNFP
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lorient – last 6
DWLDLL
12 Sep
vs Toulouse
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Lens
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Estac Troyes
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Nice
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ SV Elversberg
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Angers
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Mans and Lorient.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Le Mans vs Lorient?
On our numbers Le Mans have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lorient 43%.
How many goals will there be in Le Mans vs Lorient?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Mans vs Lorient?
Our predicted score is Le Mans 1–1 Lorient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Le Mans vs Lorient?
Le Mans vs Lorient (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at MMArena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
