Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLyon to win ✗39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Paris FC vs Lyon preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Paris FC take on Lyon on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade Jean Bouin. Paris FC are 3rd with 20 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Lyon sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Paris FC's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Marseille 3–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Lyon's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Auxerre 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Lyon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Paris FC and 1.3 for Lyon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paris FC 38%, draw 23%, Lyon 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Paris FC 1–1 Lyon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paris FC38%fair 2.61 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.40
Lyon39%fair 2.57 · @2.50
2.67Expected goals
1.33Paris FC xG
1.34Lyon xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Paris FC 1.3 – 1.3 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✗
39%
2.57
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Form
Paris FC – last 6
WWDLLD
6 Sep
@ Marseille
3–2
W
30 Aug
vs Nice
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Estac Troyes
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Angers
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ FSV Mainz 05
0–4
L
1 Aug
@ VfB Stuttgart
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 6
WDLWDW
4 Sep
vs Auxerre
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Le Havre
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Fenerbahçe
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Toulouse
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Fenerbahçe
1–1
D
11 Aug
vs Sparta Praha
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris FC and Lyon.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Paris FC vs Lyon?
On our numbers Paris FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lyon 39%.
How many goals will there be in Paris FC vs Lyon?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Paris FC 1–1 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Paris FC vs Lyon?
Paris FC vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jean Bouin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
