Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuxerre to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Auxerre vs Nice preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Auxerre take on Nice on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT). Auxerre are 14th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Nice sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Auxerre's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Lyon 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Nice's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Le Mans 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Auxerre and 1.6 for Nice. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Auxerre 40%, draw 24%, Nice 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Auxerre 1–1 Nice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auxerre40%fair 2.49 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Nice36%fair 2.79 · @2.62
3.33Expected goals
1.72Auxerre xG
1.61Nice xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Auxerre 1.7 – 1.6 Nice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auxerre to win✓
40%
2.49
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auxerre / FT Auxerre✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Form
Auxerre – last 6
LLLWDD
4 Sep
@ Lyon
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Angers
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Lens
2–5
L
15 Aug
@ Werder Bremen
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Estac Troyes
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nice – last 6
DLDDDL
5 Sep
vs Le Mans
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Paris FC
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Lorient
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Hull City
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Cagliari
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Juventus
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auxerre and Nice.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Auxerre vs Nice?
On our numbers Auxerre have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nice 36%.
How many goals will there be in Auxerre vs Nice?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Nice?
Our predicted score is Auxerre 1–1 Nice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Auxerre vs Nice?
Auxerre vs Nice (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
