Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLille to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceLille or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.69
Lille vs Estac Troyes preview and prediction
The match
Estac Troyes travel to Stade Pierre-Mauroy in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 13 September (14:00 WAT) to face Lille. Lille are 2nd with 21 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Estac Troyes sit 17th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lille's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Real Betis 2–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Estac Troyes's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Strasbourg 2–6 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Lille and 0.9 for Estac Troyes. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lille 65%, draw 23%, Estac Troyes 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lille to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Lille 2–0 Estac Troyes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lille65%fair 1.54 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @4.40
Estac Troyes12%fair 8.67 · @6.50
3.00Expected goals
2.15Lille xG
0.85Estac Troyes xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lille 2.1 – 0.9 Estac Troyes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Double chance
Lille or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Lille ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
12%
8.69
–
Form
Lille – last 6
LWDWDD
8 Sep
vs Real Betis
2–3
L
3 Sep
@ Toulouse
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Angers
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Everton
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Hamburger SV
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estac Troyes – last 6
LWDDDW
6 Sep
vs Strasbourg
2–6
L
29 Aug
@ Lorient
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Paris FC
0–0
D
14 Aug
vs Panetolikos
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Auxerre
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Grenoble
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lille and Estac Troyes.
Our pick is Lille to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Lille vs Estac Troyes?
On our numbers Lille have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estac Troyes 12%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Estac Troyes?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Estac Troyes?
Our predicted score is Lille 2–0 Estac Troyes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lille vs Estac Troyes?
Lille vs Estac Troyes (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
