Ligue 1 · France · Stade Francis-Le-BléStade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain prediction & analysis
Paris Saint Germain to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Stade Brestois 29 1.1 – 2.6 Paris Saint Germain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Paris Saint Germain travel as clear favourites – 70% to win, against 14% for Stade Brestois 29.
Stade Brestois 29 have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Paris Saint Germain have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.7 goals (1.1 for Stade Brestois 29, 2.6 for Paris Saint Germain). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 0–2 (9%), 1–3 (8%).
Our pick is Paris Saint Germain to win at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.43.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Paris Saint Germain to win ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.25 |
| Double chance | Paris Saint Germain or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time result | Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain ✓ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.84 | – |
Form
Stade Brestois 29 – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Le Havre | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Toulouse | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Le Mans | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | @ Nottingham Forest | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Venezia | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Aug | @ Stade Briochin | 2–1 | W |
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
| 9 Sep | vs Slovan Bratislava | 6–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Monaco | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Lille | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Rennes | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | @ Lens | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Aug | vs Aston Villa | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Brestois 29 and Paris Saint Germain.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Lille | 10 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Marseille | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Nice | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Rennes | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Lens | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 10 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Angers | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 10 | -13 | 2 |
More Ligue 1 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our pick is Paris Saint Germain to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain?
On our numbers Stade Brestois 29 have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Paris Saint Germain 70%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain?
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Francis-Le-Blé.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.