Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLyon to win ✗71% · @1.44
Double chanceLyon or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.06
Lyon vs Le Havre preview and prediction
The match
Lyon host Le Havre in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais. Lyon are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Le Havre sit 18th on 2 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lyon's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Fenerbahçe 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Le Havre's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Monaco 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Le Havre 0–0 Lyon.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.8 for Lyon and 0.4 for Le Havre. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 54% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lyon 71%, draw 21%, Le Havre 9%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 – 54% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.35, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lyon 1–0 Le Havre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lyon71%fair 1.42 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.20
Le Havre9%fair 11.72 · @7.40
2.19Expected goals
1.76Lyon xG
0.43Le Havre xG
44%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–017%
0–011%
3–010%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Lyon 1.8 – 0.4 Le Havre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Lyon vs Le Havre?
On our numbers Lyon have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Le Havre 9%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Le Havre?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Le Havre?
Our predicted score is Lyon 1–0 Le Havre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Le Havre?
Lyon vs Le Havre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
