Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lorient to win @ 1.84 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLorient to win ✗62% · @1.84
Double chanceLorient or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.32
Lorient vs Estac Troyes preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Lorient take on Estac Troyes on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade du Moustoir. Lorient are 10th with 15 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Estac Troyes sit 17th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Lorient's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Nice 0–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Estac Troyes's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Paris FC 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Lorient and 0.8 for Estac Troyes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Lorient to win at 1.84 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lorient or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lorient 1–0 Estac Troyes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lorient62%fair 1.61 · @1.84
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.45
Estac Troyes17%fair 5.84 · @4.20
2.57Expected goals
1.78Lorient xG
0.79Estac Troyes xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lorient 1.8 – 0.8 Estac Troyes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lorient to win✗
62%
1.61
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Lorient or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Lorient ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lorient / FT Lorient✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.32
–
Form
Lorient – last 6
DLLWWW
22 Aug
@ Nice
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ SV Elversberg
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Angers
1–2
L
4 Aug
vs UNFP
5–1
W
25 Jul
@ Guingamp
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Nantes
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estac Troyes – last 6
DDDWWW
22 Aug
vs Paris FC
0–0
D
14 Aug
vs Panetolikos
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Auxerre
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Grenoble
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs RED Star FC 93
1–0
W
11 Jul
@ Nancy
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lorient and Estac Troyes.
What is the prediction for Lorient vs Estac Troyes?
Our pick is Lorient or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lorient vs Estac Troyes?
On our numbers Lorient have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Estac Troyes 17%.
How many goals will there be in Lorient vs Estac Troyes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lorient vs Estac Troyes?
Our predicted score is Lorient 1–0 Estac Troyes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lorient vs Estac Troyes?
Lorient vs Estac Troyes (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Moustoir.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
