Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuxerre to win ✗59% · @1.90
Double chanceAuxerre or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Auxerre vs Angers preview and prediction
The match
Auxerre host Angers in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Auxerre are 14th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Angers sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Auxerre's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Lens 2–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Angers's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Lille 0–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Angers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Auxerre and 1.2 for Angers. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Auxerre 59%, draw 25%, Angers 16%.
Safer route: Auxerre or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 – 58% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Auxerre or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Auxerre 2–1 Angers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auxerre59%fair 1.69 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.45
Angers16%fair 6.08 · @3.95
3.53Expected goals
2.31Auxerre xG
1.22Angers xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Auxerre 2.3 – 1.2 Angers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auxerre to win✗
59%
1.69
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Auxerre or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.28
Half-time result
Auxerre ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auxerre / FT Auxerre✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Form
Auxerre – last 6
LWDDLW
22 Aug
@ Lens
2–5
L
15 Aug
@ Werder Bremen
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Estac Troyes
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Orleans
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs St Maur Lusitanos
5–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Angers – last 6
LWWLWW
23 Aug
vs Lille
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Paris FC
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs Lorient
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Le Mans
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Creteil
2–1
W
22 Jul
vs Les Herbiers
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auxerre and Angers.
Our pick is Auxerre or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Auxerre vs Angers?
On our numbers Auxerre have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Angers 16%.
How many goals will there be in Auxerre vs Angers?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Angers?
Our predicted score is Auxerre 2–1 Angers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Auxerre vs Angers?
Auxerre vs Angers (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
