Value bet: Sochaux to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSochaux to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.54
Sochaux vs Boulogne preview and prediction
The match
Boulogne travel to Stade Bonal in the Ligue 2 on Friday 9 October (19:00 WAT) to face Sochaux. Sochaux are 16th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Boulogne sit 12th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sochaux's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Laval 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Boulogne's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Nantes 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sochaux arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.2 goals: 0.7 for Sochaux and 0.5 for Boulogne. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 88% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sochaux 47%, draw 23%, Boulogne 30%.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Sochaux to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Sochaux 0–0 Boulogne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sochaux47%fair 2.14 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Boulogne30%fair 3.35 · @3.10
1.21Expected goals
0.74Sochaux xG
0.47Boulogne xG
43%Both score
12%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–030%
1–022%
0–114%
1–110%
2–08%
2–14%
From our goals model: Sochaux 0.7 – 0.5 Boulogne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sochaux to win✗
47%
2.14
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
97%
1.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.54
–
Form
Sochaux – last 6
DWDDWD
18 Sep
@ Laval
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Nantes
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ PAU
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Clermont Foot
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Guingamp
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ RED Star FC 93
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Boulogne – last 6
LDDDDL
19 Sep
vs Nantes
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Clermont Foot
0–0
D
4 Sep
vs Dijon
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Montpellier
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs RED Star FC 93
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ Guingamp
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sochaux and Boulogne.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sochaux vs Boulogne?
On our numbers Sochaux have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Boulogne 30%.
How many goals will there be in Sochaux vs Boulogne?
We expect about 1.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 12% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sochaux vs Boulogne?
Our predicted score is Sochaux 0–0 Boulogne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.2 goals in total.
When is Sochaux vs Boulogne?
Sochaux vs Boulogne (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bonal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
