Value bet: Guingamp to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNancy to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.67
Nancy vs Guingamp preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees Nancy take on Guingamp on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stade Marcel-Picot. Nancy are 2nd with 25 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Guingamp sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nancy's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to FC Saarbrücken 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Guingamp's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to RED Star FC 93 1–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Nancy and 1.2 for Guingamp. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nancy 45%, draw 21%, Guingamp 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Guingamp to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Nancy 1–1 Guingamp. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nancy45%fair 2.20 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
Guingamp33%fair 2.99 · @3.30
2.64Expected goals
1.45Nancy xG
1.19Guingamp xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nancy 1.4 – 1.2 Guingamp expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nancy to win✓
45%
2.20
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nancy / FT Nancy✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.67
–
Form
Nancy – last 6
LWLLWW
2 Oct
@ FC Saarbrücken
1–2
L
18 Sep
@ Rodez
4–3
W
11 Sep
vs Reims
1–2
L
7 Sep
@ Nantes
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Dunkerque
2–0
W
21 Aug
@ PAU
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guingamp – last 6
LWDDLW
19 Sep
vs RED Star FC 93
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Annecy
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Reims
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Nantes
3–3
D
21 Aug
@ Sochaux
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Boulogne
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nancy and Guingamp.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Nancy vs Guingamp?
On our numbers Nancy have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guingamp 33%.
How many goals will there be in Nancy vs Guingamp?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nancy vs Guingamp?
Our predicted score is Nancy 1–1 Guingamp, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nancy vs Guingamp?
Nancy vs Guingamp (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel-Picot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
