Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontpellier to win ✓61% · @1.60
Double chanceMontpellier or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.63
Montpellier vs Grenoble preview and prediction
The match
Montpellier host Grenoble in the Ligue 2 on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stade de la Mosson. Montpellier are 3rd with 24 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Grenoble sit 17th on 11 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Montpellier's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Reims 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Grenoble's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Montpellier arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Montpellier 2–1 Grenoble.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Montpellier and 0.6 for Grenoble. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Montpellier to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Montpellier 1–0 Grenoble. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montpellier61%fair 1.63 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.60
Grenoble18%fair 5.54 · @5.00
2.14Expected goals
1.51Montpellier xG
0.63Grenoble xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Montpellier 1.5 – 0.6 Grenoble expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Montpellier vs Grenoble?
Our pick is Montpellier to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Montpellier vs Grenoble?
On our numbers Montpellier have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Grenoble 18%.
How many goals will there be in Montpellier vs Grenoble?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montpellier vs Grenoble?
Our predicted score is Montpellier 1–0 Grenoble, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Montpellier vs Grenoble?
Montpellier vs Grenoble (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Mosson.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
