Saint Etienne vs Montpellier prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Saint Etienne to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaint Etienne to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceSaint Etienne or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.06
Saint Etienne vs Montpellier preview and prediction
The match
Montpellier travel to Stade Geoffroy-Guichard in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 5 September (19:00 WAT) to face Saint Etienne. Saint Etienne are 1st with 28 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Montpellier sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Saint Etienne's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Dijon 3–2 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Montpellier's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Boulogne 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Saint Etienne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Saint Etienne and 0.8 for Montpellier. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Saint Etienne 62%, draw 19%, Montpellier 19%.
Safer route: Saint Etienne or draw (81%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Saint Etienne to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Saint Etienne 1–0 Montpellier. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saint Etienne62%fair 1.61 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.80
Montpellier19%fair 5.35 · @5.00
2.50Expected goals
1.73Saint Etienne xG
0.77Montpellier xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Saint Etienne 1.7 – 0.8 Montpellier expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Double chance
Saint Etienne or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.06
–
Form
Saint Etienne – last 6
WWWWWW
31 Aug
@ Dijon
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs Grenoble
4–0
W
14 Aug
vs Clermont Foot
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Sochaux
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Venezia
4–3
W
29 Jul
vs Lausanne
4–0
W
3.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Montpellier – last 6
DWWDWW
28 Aug
vs Boulogne
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Dunkerque
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Nancy
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Dijon
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Rodez
4–2
W
25 Jul
@ Clermont Foot
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saint Etienne and Montpellier.
What is the prediction for Saint Etienne vs Montpellier?
Our pick is Saint Etienne to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs Montpellier?
On our numbers Saint Etienne have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Montpellier 19%.
How many goals will there be in Saint Etienne vs Montpellier?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saint Etienne vs Montpellier?
Our predicted score is Saint Etienne 1–0 Montpellier, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Saint Etienne vs Montpellier?
Saint Etienne vs Montpellier (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
