Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Reims to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReims to win ✗66% · @1.75
Double chanceReims or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.03
Reims vs Guingamp preview and prediction
The match
Guingamp travel to Stade Auguste-Delaune in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 5 September (13:00 WAT) to face Reims. Reims are 4th with 21 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Guingamp sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Reims's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat RED Star FC 93 4–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Guingamp's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Nantes 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Reims arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Reims and 1.0 for Guingamp. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Reims 66%, draw 19%, Guingamp 15%.
Safer route: Reims or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Reims to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Reims or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Reims 2–0 Guingamp. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Reims66%fair 1.51 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.50
Guingamp15%fair 6.77 · @4.00
3.25Expected goals
2.27Reims xG
0.98Guingamp xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Reims 2.3 – 1.0 Guingamp expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Reims to win✗
66%
1.51
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Reims or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Reims ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Reims / FT Reims✗
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.03
–
Form
Reims – last 6
WWDDWL
29 Aug
@ RED Star FC 93
4–1
W
24 Aug
vs Annecy
3–1
W
14 Aug
vs Dunkerque
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ Clermont Foot
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Kortrijk
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Cercle Brugge
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Guingamp – last 6
DLWLDL
29 Aug
vs Nantes
3–3
D
21 Aug
@ Sochaux
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Boulogne
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Metz
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Lorient
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Reims and Guingamp.
Our pick is Reims or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Reims vs Guingamp?
On our numbers Reims have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Guingamp 15%.
How many goals will there be in Reims vs Guingamp?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Reims vs Guingamp?
Our predicted score is Reims 2–0 Guingamp, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Reims vs Guingamp?
Reims vs Guingamp (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Auguste-Delaune.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
