Value bet: Sochaux to win @ 3.55 – our chance 36% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaint Etienne to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.68
Sochaux vs Saint Etienne preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees Sochaux take on Saint Etienne on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade Auguste Bonal. Sochaux are 16th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Saint Etienne sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sochaux's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Auxerre 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Saint Etienne's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Venezia 4–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Sochaux arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Sochaux and 1.3 for Saint Etienne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sochaux 36%, draw 23%, Saint Etienne 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Sochaux to win at 3.55 – 36% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sochaux 1–1 Saint Etienne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sochaux36%fair 2.76 · @3.55
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.45
Saint Etienne41%fair 2.44 · @2.00
2.55Expected goals
1.23Sochaux xG
1.33Saint Etienne xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sochaux 1.2 – 1.3 Saint Etienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✓
41%
2.44
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✓
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.68
–
Form
Sochaux – last 6
DLLWWW
1 Aug
vs Auxerre
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Dijon
0–3
L
22 Jul
@ Metz
1–4
L
18 Jul
vs Grenoble
1–0
W
10 Jul
@ FC Zurich
2–1
W
24 Apr
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Saint Etienne – last 6
WWLLDL
1 Aug
vs Venezia
4–3
W
29 Jul
vs Lausanne
4–0
W
22 Jul
@ Rangers
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Servette FC
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Biel-Bienne
2–2
D
29 May
@ Nice
1–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sochaux and Saint Etienne.
What is the prediction for Sochaux vs Saint Etienne?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sochaux vs Saint Etienne?
On our numbers Sochaux have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Saint Etienne 41%.
How many goals will there be in Sochaux vs Saint Etienne?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sochaux vs Saint Etienne?
Our predicted score is Sochaux 1–1 Saint Etienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sochaux vs Saint Etienne?
Sochaux vs Saint Etienne (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Auguste Bonal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
