Guingamp travel to Stade Saint-Symphorien in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 8 August (19:45 WAT) to face Metz. Metz are 7th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Guingamp sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Metz's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–3 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 6. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Guingamp's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Stade Brestois 29 3–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Metz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Metz and 1.1 for Guingamp. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Metz 47%, draw 21%, Guingamp 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Metz 1–1 Guingamp. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metz47%fair 2.12 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Guingamp32%fair 3.14 · @3.30
2.61Expected goals
1.47Metz xG
1.14Guingamp xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Metz 1.5 – 1.1 Guingamp expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metz to win✓
47%
2.12
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metz / FT Metz✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.25
–
Form
Metz – last 6
LWWWWD
1 Aug
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Fortuna Sittard
3–1
W
22 Jul
vs Sochaux
4–1
W
17 Jul
vs Seraing United
5–0
W
11 Jul
vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Versailles
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Guingamp – last 6
DLLLDW
1 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Lorient
0–2
L
22 Jul
vs Concarneau
0–1
L
17 Jul
@ Rennes
1–3
L
10 Jul
vs Laval
1–1
D
10 Jul
vs RED Star FC 93
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metz and Guingamp.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Metz vs Guingamp?
On our numbers Metz have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guingamp 32%.
How many goals will there be in Metz vs Guingamp?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs Guingamp?
Our predicted score is Metz 1–1 Guingamp, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Metz vs Guingamp?
Metz vs Guingamp (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
