NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven prediction & analysis
75%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPSV Eindhoven to win66% · @1.50
Double chancePSV Eindhoven or draw85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.48
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven preview and prediction
The match
NEC Nijmegen host PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie on Saturday 21 November, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Goffertstadion. NEC Nijmegen are 11th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while PSV Eindhoven sit 1st on 26 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
NEC Nijmegen's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Utrecht 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
PSV Eindhoven's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Cambuur 5–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished NEC Nijmegen 3–2 PSV Eindhoven.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.3 for NEC Nijmegen and 2.7 for PSV Eindhoven. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: NEC Nijmegen 15%, draw 20%, PSV Eindhoven 66%.
Safer route: PSV Eindhoven or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Prediction
The Footrivo pick: Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: NEC Nijmegen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NEC Nijmegen15%fair 6.82 · @5.00
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.75
PSV Eindhoven66%fair 1.52 · @1.50
3.98Expected goals
1.26NEC Nijmegen xG
2.72PSV Eindhoven xG
67%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–16%
0–36%
2–25%
From our goals model: NEC Nijmegen 1.3 – 2.7 PSV Eindhoven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
Attack vs Eredivisie average
-11%
+63%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
-26%
Our expected goals here
1.26
2.81
Our own ratings from every Eredivisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
On our numbers NEC Nijmegen have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and PSV Eindhoven 66%.
How many goals will there be in NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our predicted score is NEC Nijmegen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Goffertstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
