Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultFeyenoord to win76% · @1.14
Double chanceFeyenoord or draw91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–18% · fair 12.21
Feyenoord vs Excelsior preview and prediction
The match
Feyenoord host Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Saturday 21 November, with kick-off at 18:45 (WAT) at De Kuip. Feyenoord are 2nd with 25 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Excelsior sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Feyenoord's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Heerenveen 3–5 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Excelsior's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to GO Ahead Eagles 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Feyenoord 2–1 Excelsior.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 3.1 for Feyenoord and 1.1 for Excelsior. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 78% and both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Feyenoord 3–1 Excelsior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Feyenoord76%fair 1.31 · @1.14
Draw15%fair 6.64 · @8.00
Excelsior9%fair 11.48 · @13.00
4.19Expected goals
3.08Feyenoord xG
1.11Excelsior xG
61%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–18%
3–07%
2–07%
4–16%
4–06%
From our goals model: Feyenoord 3.1 – 1.1 Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Feyenoord
Excelsior
Attack vs Eredivisie average
+38%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
+21%
Our expected goals here
3.18
1.17
Our own ratings from every Eredivisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
On our numbers Feyenoord have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Excelsior 9%.
How many goals will there be in Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Feyenoord 3–1 Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Feyenoord vs Excelsior (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at De Kuip.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
