Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAZ Alkmaar to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente preview and prediction
The match
The Eredivisie sees AZ Alkmaar take on Twente on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at AFAS Stadion. AZ Alkmaar are 5th with 23 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Twente sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AZ Alkmaar's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Ararat-Armenia 4–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Twente's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Lincoln Red Imps FC 4–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.5 for Twente. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AZ Alkmaar 45%, draw 20%, Twente 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Twente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AZ Alkmaar45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
Twente35%fair 2.83 · @2.80
3.17Expected goals
1.69AZ Alkmaar xG
1.48Twente xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: AZ Alkmaar 1.7 – 1.5 Twente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AZ Alkmaar to win✗
45%
2.24
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AZ Alkmaar / FT AZ Alkmaar✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Form
AZ Alkmaar – last 6
WDWLWL
22 Oct
@ Ararat-Armenia
4–0
W
18 Oct
@ Cambuur
2–2
D
15 Oct
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Feyenoord
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Telstar
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Sunderland
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Twente – last 6
WLWDWW
22 Oct
@ Lincoln Red Imps FC
4–1
W
18 Oct
vs Utrecht
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs FC Thun
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs PSV Eindhoven
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs ADO Den Haag
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AZ Alkmaar and Twente.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
On our numbers AZ Alkmaar have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Twente 35%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
Our predicted score is AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Twente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
