Eredivisie · Netherlands · Stadion de GoffertNEC Nijmegen vs Groningen prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: NEC Nijmegen 2.0 – 2.0 Groningen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates NEC Nijmegen and Groningen on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
NEC Nijmegen have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. Groningen have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 4.0 goals (2.0 for NEC Nijmegen, 2.0 for Groningen). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (7%), 1–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.47.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | NEC Nijmegen to win ✗ | 40% | 2.51 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time result | NEC Nijmegen ahead at half-time ✗ | 34% | 2.95 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT NEC Nijmegen / FT NEC Nijmegen ✗ | 25% | 4.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 7% | 13.48 | – |
Form
NEC Nijmegen – last 6
| 22 Oct | @ Dinamo Zagreb | 4–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Fortuna Sittard | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Oct | vs Levski Sofia | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Ajax | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs GO Ahead Eagles | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Sep | @ Juventus | 0–5 | L |
Groningen – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Ajax | 2–5 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Excelsior | 5–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs PEC Zwolle | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ GO Ahead Eagles | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Twente | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs Fortuna Sittard | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NEC Nijmegen and Groningen.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 12 | +25 | 26 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 12 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |  Ajax | 12 | +17 | 25 |
| 4 |  Twente | 12 | +18 | 24 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 12 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Heerenveen | 12 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 12 | -13 | 12 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 12 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 12 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | -29 | 3 |
More Eredivisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?
On our numbers NEC Nijmegen have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Groningen 38%.
How many goals will there be in NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
When is NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?
NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion de Goffert.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.