PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPSV Eindhoven to win ✓74% · @1.18
Double chancePSV Eindhoven or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.29
PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam preview and prediction
The match
Sparta Rotterdam travel to Philips Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 13 September (19:00 WAT) to face PSV Eindhoven. PSV Eindhoven are 1st with 26 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Sparta Rotterdam sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
PSV Eindhoven's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Shakhtar Donetsk 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Sparta Rotterdam's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with PEC Zwolle 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
PSV Eindhoven arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 3.0 for PSV Eindhoven and 1.2 for Sparta Rotterdam. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Sparta Rotterdam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PSV Eindhoven74%fair 1.34 · @1.18
Draw14%fair 6.98 · @7.00
Sparta Rotterdam11%fair 8.88 · @11.00
4.20Expected goals
3.03PSV Eindhoven xG
1.17Sparta Rotterdam xG
65%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–18%
3–07%
2–07%
4–16%
1–15%
From our goals model: PSV Eindhoven 3.0 – 1.2 Sparta Rotterdam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSV Eindhoven to win✓
74%
1.34
1.18
Double chance
PSV Eindhoven or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven✓
52%
1.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.29
–
Form
PSV Eindhoven – last 6
DWWWWD
10 Sep
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Ajax
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Utrecht
6–1
W
23 Aug
vs Groningen
5–1
W
15 Aug
@ Excelsior
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–2
D
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sparta Rotterdam – last 6
DLDWLD
4 Sep
vs PEC Zwolle
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Excelsior
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Utrecht
3–3
D
14 Aug
@ Telstar
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Feyenoord
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs MSV Duisburg
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam.
What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?
On our numbers PSV Eindhoven have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Sparta Rotterdam 11%.
How many goals will there be in PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our predicted score is PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Sparta Rotterdam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?
PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Philips Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
