Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeerenveen to win ✗64% · @1.62
Double chanceHeerenveen or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Heerenveen vs Telstar preview and prediction
The match
Telstar travel to Abe Lenstra Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 13 September (13:30 WAT) to face Heerenveen. Heerenveen are 6th with 21 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Telstar sit 16th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Heerenveen's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to AZ Alkmaar 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Telstar's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Twente 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Heerenveen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Heerenveen and 1.0 for Telstar. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Heerenveen to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Heerenveen 2–1 Telstar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heerenveen64%fair 1.57 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @4.20
Telstar17%fair 6.00 · @4.40
3.20Expected goals
2.18Heerenveen xG
1.02Telstar xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Heerenveen 2.2 – 1.0 Telstar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heerenveen to win✗
64%
1.57
1.62
Double chance
Heerenveen or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Heerenveen ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heerenveen / FT Heerenveen✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Form
Heerenveen – last 6
LDLDWW
6 Sep
vs AZ Alkmaar
2–3
L
30 Aug
@ Willem II
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs PEC Zwolle
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Ajax
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs Twente
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Volos NFC
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Telstar – last 6
LDLLWL
9 Sep
@ Twente
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Cambuur
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Ajax
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Sparta Rotterdam
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ NEC Nijmegen
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ VfL Wolfsburg
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heerenveen and Telstar.
Our pick is Heerenveen to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Heerenveen vs Telstar?
On our numbers Heerenveen have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Telstar 17%.
How many goals will there be in Heerenveen vs Telstar?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs Telstar?
Our predicted score is Heerenveen 2–1 Telstar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Heerenveen vs Telstar?
Heerenveen vs Telstar (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Abe Lenstra Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
