Excelsior host Utrecht in the Eredivisie on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 11:15 (WAT) at Stadion Woudestein. Excelsior are 15th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Utrecht sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Excelsior's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with NEC Nijmegen 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Utrecht's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with GO Ahead Eagles 3–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Excelsior arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 2.4 for Excelsior and 2.0 for Utrecht. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Excelsior 2–2 Utrecht. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Excelsior47%fair 2.13 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.50
Utrecht33%fair 3.07 · @2.90
4.40Expected goals
2.40Excelsior xG
2.00Utrecht xG
68%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–17%
1–26%
1–16%
3–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Excelsior 2.4 – 2.0 Utrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Excelsior vs Utrecht?
On our numbers Excelsior have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Utrecht 33%.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior vs Utrecht?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior vs Utrecht?
Our predicted score is Excelsior 2–2 Utrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Excelsior vs Utrecht?
Excelsior vs Utrecht (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Woudestein.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
