Value bet: Fortuna Sittard to win @ 3.00 – our chance 45% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFortuna Sittard to win ✓45% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.18
ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard preview and prediction
The match
The Eredivisie sees ADO Den Haag take on Fortuna Sittard on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 15:45 (WAT) at Bingoal Stadion. ADO Den Haag are 17th with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Fortuna Sittard sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
ADO Den Haag's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Feyenoord 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Fortuna Sittard's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Groningen 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Fortuna Sittard arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.8 for ADO Den Haag and 2.0 for Fortuna Sittard. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Fortuna Sittard to win at 3.00 – 45% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: ADO Den Haag 1–1 Fortuna Sittard. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ADO Den Haag36%fair 2.81 · @2.05
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.70
Fortuna Sittard45%fair 2.22 · @3.00
3.75Expected goals
1.76ADO Den Haag xG
1.99Fortuna Sittard xG
69%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: ADO Den Haag 1.8 – 2.0 Fortuna Sittard expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortuna Sittard to win✓
45%
2.22
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Fortuna Sittard ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortuna Sittard / FT Fortuna Sittard✓
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.18
–
Form
ADO Den Haag – last 6
DLLLDW
30 Aug
@ Feyenoord
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ GO Ahead Eagles
1–3
L
16 Aug
vs Groningen
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ AZ Alkmaar
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Asteras Tripolis
0–0
D
24 Jul
@ Lommel United
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fortuna Sittard – last 6
WLWDWL
28 Aug
@ Groningen
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs AZ Alkmaar
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Cambuur
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Apoel Nicosia
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Metz
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADO Den Haag and Fortuna Sittard.
What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
On our numbers ADO Den Haag have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Fortuna Sittard 45%.
How many goals will there be in ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our predicted score is ADO Den Haag 1–1 Fortuna Sittard, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?
ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Bingoal Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
