Groningen host Twente in the Eredivisie on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 11:15 (WAT) at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion. Groningen are 9th with 15 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Twente sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Groningen's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Fortuna Sittard 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Twente's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Cambuur 4–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Twente 2–1 Groningen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.8 for Groningen and 2.3 for Twente. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Groningen 31%, draw 20%, Twente 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.41, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Groningen 1–2 Twente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Groningen31%fair 3.22 · @3.10
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
Twente49%fair 2.06 · @2.05
4.14Expected goals
1.84Groningen xG
2.30Twente xG
71%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
2–27%
1–17%
2–16%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Groningen 1.8 – 2.3 Twente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Groningen vs Twente?
On our numbers Groningen have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Twente 49%.
How many goals will there be in Groningen vs Twente?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Twente?
Our predicted score is Groningen 1–2 Twente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Groningen vs Twente?
Groningen vs Twente (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
