Value bet: PSV Eindhoven to win @ 1.62 – our chance 65% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPSV Eindhoven to win ✓65% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.40
Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven preview and prediction
The match
Utrecht host PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 11:15 (WAT) at Stadion Galgenwaard. Utrecht are 14th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while PSV Eindhoven sit 1st on 26 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Utrecht's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
PSV Eindhoven's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Groningen 5–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
PSV Eindhoven arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 1.6 for Utrecht and 2.9 for PSV Eindhoven. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 83% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: PSV Eindhoven to win at 1.62 – 65% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Utrecht 1–2 PSV Eindhoven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Utrecht22%fair 4.56 · @4.20
Draw13%fair 7.93 · @4.20
PSV Eindhoven65%fair 1.53 · @1.62
4.50Expected goals
1.63Utrecht xG
2.87PSV Eindhoven xG
70%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
1–45%
From our goals model: Utrecht 1.6 – 2.9 PSV Eindhoven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSV Eindhoven to win✓
65%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.40
–
Form
Utrecht – last 6
DLLLLW
22 Aug
@ Sparta Rotterdam
3–3
D
15 Aug
vs AZ Alkmaar
1–4
L
9 Aug
@ Groningen
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Sevilla
0–1
L
24 Jul
@ Cambuur
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs V-varen Nagasaki
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
PSV Eindhoven – last 6
WWDLWL
23 Aug
vs Groningen
5–1
W
15 Aug
@ Excelsior
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–2
D
2 Aug
vs AZ Alkmaar
0–4
L
28 Jul
vs FC Eindhoven
3–0
W
25 Jul
vs Villarreal
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven.
What is the prediction for Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?
On our numbers Utrecht have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 13% and PSV Eindhoven 65%.
How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our predicted score is Utrecht 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?
Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
