Eredivisie · Netherlands · BUKO StadionTelstar vs Ajax prediction & analysis
Ajax to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Telstar 1.0 – 2.2 Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ajax travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 14% for Telstar.
Telstar have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Ajax have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 3.0 scored and 1.7 conceded. Ajax come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.0 for Telstar, 2.2 for Ajax). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%).
Our pick is Ajax to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.58.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ajax to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Ajax or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Half-time result | Ajax ahead at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ajax / FT Ajax ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.18 | – |
Form
Telstar – last 6
| 14 Aug | vs Sparta Rotterdam | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ NEC Nijmegen | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Jul | @ De Graafschap | 6–3 | W |
| 11 Jul | @ Sparta Rotterdam | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Jul | @ Almere City FC | 1–2 | L |
Ajax – last 6
| 27 Aug | vs FC Sion | 5–3 | W |
| 20 Aug | @ FC Sion | 4–2 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Heerenveen | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Aug | @ Shelbourne | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ PEC Zwolle | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Aug | vs Shelbourne | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Telstar and Ajax.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 12 | +25 | 26 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 12 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |  Ajax | 12 | +17 | 25 |
| 4 |  Twente | 12 | +18 | 24 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 12 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Heerenveen | 12 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 12 | -13 | 12 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 12 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 12 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | -29 | 3 |
More Eredivisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Telstar vs Ajax?
Our pick is Ajax to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Telstar vs Ajax?
On our numbers Telstar have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ajax 63%.
How many goals will there be in Telstar vs Ajax?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Telstar vs Ajax?
Telstar vs Ajax (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at BUKO Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.