Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Twente to win @ 2.22 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTwente to win ✗52% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Heerenveen vs Twente preview and prediction
The match
Heerenveen host Twente in the Eredivisie on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 15:45 (WAT) at Abe Lenstra Stadion. Heerenveen are 6th with 21 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Twente sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Heerenveen's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Volos NFC 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Twente's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Dunajska Streda 6–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Heerenveen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.4 for Heerenveen and 1.9 for Twente. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Twente to win at 2.22 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Heerenveen 1–1 Twente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heerenveen29%fair 3.49 · @2.82
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.75
Twente52%fair 1.93 · @2.22
3.28Expected goals
1.36Heerenveen xG
1.92Twente xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Heerenveen 1.4 – 1.9 Twente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Twente to win✗
52%
1.93
2.22 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.67
Half-time result
Twente ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Twente / FT Twente✗
31%
3.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.61
–
Form
Heerenveen – last 6
WDWWLD
1 Aug
vs Volos NFC
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs OH Leuven
4–4
D
17 Jul
@ Club Brugge KV
3–2
W
3 Jul
vs De Graafschap
7–2
W
21 May
@ Utrecht
2–3
L
17 May
vs Ajax
0–0
D
3.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Twente – last 6
WLDWLD
6 Aug
vs Dunajska Streda
6–0
W
2 Aug
@ Genk
1–2
L
30 Jul
@ Ferencvarosi TC
2–2
D
24 Jul
@ Emmen
3–0
W
23 Jul
vs Ferencvarosi TC
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Gent
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heerenveen and Twente.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Heerenveen vs Twente?
On our numbers Heerenveen have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Twente 52%.
How many goals will there be in Heerenveen vs Twente?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs Twente?
Our predicted score is Heerenveen 1–1 Twente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Heerenveen vs Twente?
Heerenveen vs Twente (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Abe Lenstra Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
