Value bet: Utrecht to win @ 2.88 – our chance 45% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUtrecht to win ✗45% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Groningen vs Utrecht preview and prediction
The match
Utrecht travel to Euroborg in the Eredivisie on Sunday 9 August (13:30 WAT) to face Groningen. Groningen are 9th with 15 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Utrecht sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Groningen's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Valladolid 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Utrecht's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Sevilla 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Groningen and 1.5 for Utrecht. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Utrecht to win at 2.88 – 45% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Groningen 1–1 Utrecht. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Groningen34%fair 2.94 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.45
Utrecht45%fair 2.21 · @2.88
2.78Expected goals
1.27Groningen xG
1.51Utrecht xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Groningen 1.3 – 1.5 Utrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Utrecht to win✗
45%
2.21
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Utrecht / FT Utrecht✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Form
Groningen – last 6
WDLLWL
1 Aug
vs Valladolid
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Volos NFC
0–0
D
24 Jul
vs FC Volendam
0–4
L
18 Jul
vs AEK Athens FC
1–2
L
11 Jul
vs Emmen
3–2
W
8 Jul
@ Heracles
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Utrecht – last 6
LLWLWW
2 Aug
vs Sevilla
0–1
L
24 Jul
@ Cambuur
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs V-varen Nagasaki
3–2
W
27 Jun
vs De Graafschap
1–2
L
21 May
vs Heerenveen
3–2
W
17 May
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Groningen and Utrecht.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Groningen vs Utrecht?
On our numbers Groningen have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Utrecht 45%.
How many goals will there be in Groningen vs Utrecht?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Utrecht?
Our predicted score is Groningen 1–1 Utrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Groningen vs Utrecht?
Groningen vs Utrecht (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Euroborg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
