Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.47 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.47Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAjax to win ✓65% · @1.47
Double chanceAjax or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27
PEC Zwolle vs Ajax preview and prediction
The match
Ajax travel to Mac3Park Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 9 August (13:30 WAT) to face PEC Zwolle. PEC Zwolle are 13th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Ajax sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
PEC Zwolle's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Hannover 96 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Ajax's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Shelbourne 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Ajax arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished PEC Zwolle 0–0 Ajax.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.0 for PEC Zwolle and 2.3 for Ajax. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: PEC Zwolle 15%, draw 20%, Ajax 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ajax to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.47. Predicted score: PEC Zwolle 1–2 Ajax. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PEC Zwolle15%fair 6.53 · @5.90
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.50
Ajax65%fair 1.54 · @1.47
3.35Expected goals
1.05PEC Zwolle xG
2.30Ajax xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: PEC Zwolle 1.0 – 2.3 Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Ajax to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
On our numbers PEC Zwolle have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ajax 65%.
How many goals will there be in PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
Our predicted score is PEC Zwolle 1–2 Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
PEC Zwolle vs Ajax (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Mac3Park Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
