Jong AZ host Almere City FC in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 6 November, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at AFAS Trainingscomplex. Jong AZ are 19th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Almere City FC sit 9th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong AZ's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Roda 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Almere City FC's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Waalwijk 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Almere City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.7 for Jong AZ and 2.1 for Almere City FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong AZ 34%, draw 19%, Almere City FC 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Jong AZ 1–2 Almere City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong AZ34%fair 2.92 · @3.00
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @4.00
Almere City FC47%fair 2.13 · @2.10
3.79Expected goals
1.73Jong AZ xG
2.05Almere City FC xG
68%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Jong AZ 1.7 – 2.1 Almere City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almere City FC to win✓
47%
2.13
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Half-time result
Almere City FC ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC✓
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.08
–
Form
Jong AZ – last 6
LWDLWD
30 Oct
@ Roda
1–2
L
23 Oct
vs Helmond Sport
5–4
W
16 Oct
@ VVV Venlo
4–4
D
9 Oct
vs Den Bosch
0–1
L
18 Sep
vs FC Volendam
4–1
W
14 Sep
@ Jong PSV U21
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Almere City FC – last 6
WWLLWW
30 Oct
@ Waalwijk
2–1
W
27 Oct
@ Telstar
2–0
W
23 Oct
vs Roda
2–3
L
17 Oct
@ Emmen
1–2
L
9 Oct
vs FC Eindhoven
3–0
W
3 Oct
vs FC Volendam
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong AZ and Almere City FC.
What is the prediction for Jong AZ vs Almere City FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Almere City FC?
On our numbers Jong AZ have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Almere City FC 47%.
How many goals will there be in Jong AZ vs Almere City FC?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong AZ vs Almere City FC?
Our predicted score is Jong AZ 1–2 Almere City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Jong AZ vs Almere City FC?
Jong AZ vs Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
