FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax prediction & analysis

Very little separates FC Eindhoven and Jong Ajax on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

FC Eindhoven have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.3 per game. Jong Ajax have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.

We expect around 3.6 goals (1.9 for FC Eindhoven, 1.7 for Jong Ajax). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, FC Eindhoven have won 1, Jong Ajax have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.41. For a bigger price, Jong Ajax to win at 2.90 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).